Fantasy Force

2yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 75

Hamilton · Hamilton Park Nursery · 5f 7y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength80%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.0

Today: 5

Class gap: +2.0

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-19	York	2	13th	9th	+3	1.0
2026-07-25	Newcastle	4	14th	13th	+1	1.0
2026-06-03	Ripon	4	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-05-13	York	2	3rd	-1th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength55%

Delivery trend +16.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/05/2026	3rd	4/1	79%	60%	-0.19
03/06/2026	5th	1/1	95%	33%	-0.61
25/07/2026	14th	11/1	42%	0%	-0.42
19/08/2026	13th	33/1	0%	29%	+0.29