1
Space Dreamer
2yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 77
Hamilton · Hamilton Park Nursery · 5f 7y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |