IvyArcIvyArc
2

The Resdev Roman

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 75

Hamilton · Hamilton Park Nursery · 5f 7y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed definite promise on first of 2 starts in the spring and was much improved after 3 months off when opening her account at Ripon (5f) 3 weeks ago, in command final 1f and having bit in hand. Type to go on improving now attentions switch to nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength91%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS14/0522 @ Beverley 30/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0524 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS1/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Ripon41st0th+1
2026-05-30Beverley27th3rd+3
2026-05-14York28th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0530/051/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20268th80/10%50%+0.50
30/05/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
01/09/20261st11/142%100%+0.58