7
Doon The Glen
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 48
Hamilton · Heineken Zero Drink Responsibly At Hamilton Park Handicap · 5f 7y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Ayr | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Hamilton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |