8
Kyber Crystal
7yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 45
Hamilton · Heineken Zero Drink Responsibly At Hamilton Park Handicap · 5f 7y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Carlisle | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 09/09/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |