7
Annie Edson Taylor
5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 67
Hamilton · Molton Brown Luxury Fragrance Fillies' Handicap · 6f 6y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 23/10/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |