4

Call Me Betty
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 74
Hamilton · Molton Brown Luxury Fragrance Fillies' Handicap · 6f 6y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 15/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 20/04/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |