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Jannas Journey

5yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 79

Hamilton · Molton Brown Luxury Fragrance Fillies' Handicap · 6f 6y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had a remarkable 2025, winning 7 from 8 starts over the summer, and she was back to winning ways at Carlisle (1m) in July. Well backed when down the field over 7f at Ayr on Saturday but remains unexposed as a sprinter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 81 par9/052OR 814 @ Ayr 20/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 79 · 1m GF 134 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 79 par3 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 6f195y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 77 par30/053OR 774 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 77 · 7f Gd 132 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Carlisle 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 7f173y Goo 133 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 76 par4/074OR 764 @ Hamilton 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 79 · 1m68y Goo 135 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 79 · 1m Goo 129 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 79 par8/084OR 794 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 78 · 6f6y GS 138 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Ayr 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f50y Hvy 135 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 79 par19/094OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Ayr46th6th0
2026-08-21Hamilton43rd3rd0
2026-08-08Ayr49th9th0
2026-07-16Hamilton44th4th0
2026-07-04Carlisle41st1st0
2026-06-12York48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0512/068/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%

Delivery trend -8.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20267th20/10%25%+0.25
20/05/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
30/05/20264th18/15%63%+0.57
12/06/20268th7/163%63%0.00
04/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
16/07/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
08/08/20269th4/179%11%-0.68
21/08/20263rd15/261%80%+0.19
19/09/20266th3/184%38%-0.47