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3

Mae Amor

4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 74

Hamilton · Molton Brown Luxury Fragrance Fillies' Handicap · 6f 6y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Big-price winner over C&D on return in May off a higher mark and finally back to that level when fourth of 26 at Glorious Goodwood. Remained competitive next 2 starts and she should be on the scene again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 24/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 79 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 79 par24/114OR 794 @ Wolverhampton 20/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 78 · 7f36y Std 133 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 78 par4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 77 · 6f6y Gd 132 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 77 par17/054OR 774 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 137 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Musselburgh 06/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f15y Gd 134 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 79 par6/064OR 794 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f182y Goo 140 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 26 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 77 par29/074OR 774 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 77 par5 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f6y Sft 140 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 75 par2/095OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton54th5th−1
2026-08-05Pontefract43rd3rd0
2026-07-29Goodwood44th4th0
2026-07-09Carlisle46th6th0
2026-06-06Musselburgh49th9th0
2026-05-23York418th18th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1123/0529/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength85%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/11/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
20/12/202512th40/10%0%0.00
17/05/20261st66/10%100%+1.00
23/05/202618th14/126%11%-0.16
06/06/20269th33/10%0%0.00
09/07/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
29/07/20264th50/10%88%+0.88
05/08/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
02/09/20264th4/179%63%-0.16