Persian Spirit
4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 78
Hamilton · Molton Brown Luxury Fragrance Fillies' Handicap · 6f 6y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kempton | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-06-11 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Haydock | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-05 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-10-03 | Salisbury | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/10/2024 | 4th | 85/40 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 24/05/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |