9
Lucky Camino
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 83
Hamilton · Big Drew Hunter Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Salisbury | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Leicester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Nottingham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |