Monoceros
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 84
Hamilton · Big Drew Hunter Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA81 | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Musselburgh | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Musselburgh | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Newmarket | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |