3
Rajapour
6yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 84
Hamilton · Big Drew Hunter Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |