Time Loop
5yo Mare · 9-12 · OR 83
Hamilton · Big Drew Hunter Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Salisbury | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Newcastle | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-12-22 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2023 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 89% | -0.07 |
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |