8
Vincenzo Peruggia
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 84
Hamilton · Big Drew Hunter Memorial Handicap · 1m 68y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Newmarket | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 25th | 23th | +2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Musselburgh | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 29/07/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 18/06/2026 | 25th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/07/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |