Draupnir
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 69
Hamilton · Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap · 1m 1f 35y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Hamilton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 01/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 18/5 | 81% | 56% | -0.25 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |