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2

Tee Aitch Aye

5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 67

Hamilton · Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap · 1m 1f 35y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fallen in the weights and back in very good form of late with the cheekpieces added and readily doubled his tally in 10-runner handicap at Hamilton (1m, soft, 7/4) 18 days ago by 3¾ lengths from Aurelune. Not taken lightly in follow-up bid from a 7 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ayr 09/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 69 · 1m2f Hvy 136 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 69 par9/105OR 695 @ Musselburgh 05/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 69 · 1m4f104y Sft 139 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m4f98y Std 136 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 68 par12/035OR 684 @ Hamilton 15/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m1f35y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 66 par4 @ Hamilton 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m1f35y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 64 par4/064OR 646 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 62 · 1m3f15y Goo 142 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 59 · 1m2f Gd 139 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 59 par6/076OR 596 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 59 · 1m2f Goo 136 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 60 · 1m68y Sft 138 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 60 par2/096OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton61st2nd−1
2026-08-10Ayr62nd3rd−1
2026-07-06Ayr63rd4th−1
2026-06-17Hamilton66th7th−1
2026-06-04Hamilton47th6th+1
2026-05-15Hamilton410th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1015/056/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20253rd2/189%71%-0.18
05/11/20255th11/271%43%-0.28
12/03/20268th11/271%0%-0.71
15/05/202610th14/126%0%-0.26
04/06/20267th22/10%14%+0.14
17/06/20266th11/142%17%-0.25
06/07/20263rd9/153%82%+0.29
10/08/20262nd7/282%90%+0.08
02/09/20261st7/491%100%+0.09