6
Dandy's Angel
9yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 47
Hamilton · Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap · 1m 4f 15y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 04/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |