Duleek Street
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 45
Hamilton · Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap · 1m 4f 15y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-03 | Galway | BHA108 | 6th | 12th | −5 |
| 2025-07-04 | Bellewstown | BHA49 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-04-09 | Leopardstown | BHA52 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2024-05-07 | Navan | BHA55 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Kelso | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2023-08-26 | Cartmel | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2023 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |
| 07/07/2023 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 42% | -0.24 |
| 11/08/2023 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 26/08/2023 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 08/10/2023 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 07/05/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.37 |
| 09/04/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |