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2

Taylormade Lad

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 57

Hamilton · Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came at Carlisle (11f) last summer. Couldn't exploit a career-low mark when second of 7 over the same C&D 24 days ago, but he's dropped another 1 lb in the weights since so he could be in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Carlisle 20/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 60 · 1m3f39y GF 133 · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 60 par20/086OR 606 @ Hamilton 21/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 63 · 1m4f15y Sft 135 · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 63 par5 @ Newcastle 09/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 65 · 1m4f98y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/10/2025 · OR 65 par9/105OR 655 @ Hamilton 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 65 · 1m3f15y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Carlisle 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 64 · 1m3f39y Goo 135 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 64 par29/056OR 645 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m3f39y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 63 · 1m4f23y Goo 140 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 63 par3/076OR 636 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 60 · 1m2f GF 140 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Carlisle 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 58 · 1m3f39y Goo 136 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 58 par27/086OR 58projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Carlisle62nd2nd0
2026-07-20Ayr67th7th0
2026-07-03Beverley65th5th0
2026-06-09Carlisle55th4th+1
2026-05-29Carlisle63rd3rd0
2026-05-03Hamilton53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/083/053/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
21/09/20252nd10/382%80%-0.02
09/10/20259th7/163%0%-0.63
03/05/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06
29/05/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
09/06/20265th5/287%56%-0.31
03/07/20265th3/184%0%-0.84
20/07/20267th7/163%33%-0.30
27/08/20262nd13/891%83%-0.08