5

Wootton's Gal

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 61

Hamilton · Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap · 1m 4f 15y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed fair form in a trio of maidens. Down the field on handicap debut at this course (13f) in August, but fared better when fifth of 12 here on soft ground 18 days ago. More needed as she drops back 1f in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 25/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0743 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m2f190y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0633 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m3f197y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0634 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m5f16y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 65 par1/084OR 655 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m5f16y Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 62 par2/095OR 62projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton55th4th+1
2026-08-01Hamilton49th7th+2
2026-06-26Doncaster34th0th+3
2026-06-03Ripon32nd-2th+3
2025-07-25Thirsk45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/073/0626/061/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20255th50/10%33%+0.33
03/06/20262nd20/10%67%+0.67
26/06/20264th25/10%25%+0.25
01/08/20269th28/10%11%+0.11
02/09/20265th22/10%64%+0.64