5

Gold Brew

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 76

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1196/08C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 76 par7/09C6OR 76projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-08-06Colonial Downs?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%

Delivery trend -52.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
07/09/20263rd11/486%78%-0.08