4

Pretty Violent

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 69

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 06/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1196/08C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 65 par7/09C6OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-08-06Colonial Downs?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20267th6/168%40%-0.28
07/09/20266th5/174%44%-0.29