Cross Of Valor
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 20/09/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |