8
Rehoboth Avenue
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 65
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 30/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |