Vekoma's War
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 73
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-09-03 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 28/12/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 29/01/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 20/02/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 27/03/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 12/04/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 27/04/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |