7

Voluntary

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength31%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS21/02C6C6 @ Gulfstream 29/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 89 par29/03C6OR 89C6 @ Delaware Park 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 91 · 1m70y Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 91 par27/05C6OR 91C6 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 81 par11/06C6OR 81C6 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 88 · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 88 par21/07C6OR 88C7 @ Delaware Park 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 90 · 7f110y Sft 118 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 90 par13/08C7OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-07-21Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2026-06-11Delaware Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-27Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-03-29Gulfstream?8th7th+1
2026-02-21Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0229/0327/0511/0621/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20263rd33/10%78%+0.78
29/03/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
27/05/20264th11/486%40%-0.46
11/06/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
21/07/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
13/08/20261st11/893%100%+0.07