9
Wetherby
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 64
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-08-29 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |