Lady Sriracha
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 71
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-07-10 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 24/10/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 02/02/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/03/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 01/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 10/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |