Missy's Map
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 52
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 11/09/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 15/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |