4
Sweet Honey Bee
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 73
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |