8
Executive
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 12/10/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 22/11/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 08/03/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 13/04/2025 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 10% | -0.77 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |