3
Gold Sovereign
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 08/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 43% | -0.48 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |