1
Irish Nunsense
3yo Gelding · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |