Battalion Leader
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-26 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Lone Star | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Lone Star | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |