Copernium
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |