1
Fighting Words
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |