Leonidas Stand
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |