2

Bettabe Tough

2yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 75

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Fm 11712/07C6C5 @ Saratoga 27/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 84 par27/08C5OR 84projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Saratoga?8th7th+1
2026-07-12Monmouth Park?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend -28.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
27/08/20268th25/10%0%0.00