6

Call It

2yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 69

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fm 11930/07C9C9 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 56 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 56 par21/08C9OR 56projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Colonial Downs?1st5th3
2026-07-30Colonial Downs?5th9th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +137.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
21/08/20261st25/10%100%+1.00