IvyArcIvyArc
15

Celestial Speed

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 70

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 05/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS15/08C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 45 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 45 par8/09C6OR 45C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 43 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 43 par6/10C6OR 43C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 64 · 1m 120 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 64 par22/10C8OR 64C7 @ Penn National 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 42 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 42 par3/06C7OR 42C7 @ Penn National 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 57 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 57 par17/06C7OR 57projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Penn National?1st0th+1
2026-06-03Penn National?2nd1st+1
2025-10-22Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-10-06Presque Isle Downs?1st-1th+2
2025-09-08Presque Isle Downs?5th3rd+2
2025-08-15Presque Isle Downs?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/076/1017/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +12.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20258th4/179%0%-0.79
15/08/20253rd11/486%60%-0.26
08/09/20255th7/491%20%-0.71
06/10/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
22/10/20252nd10/1195%75%-0.20
03/06/20262nd5/287%88%+0.01
17/06/20261st4/1198%100%+0.02