Chitchatchitchat
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 05/04/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 14% | -0.78 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |