Diane Lee
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |