Fahnee
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |