Midsummer Mo
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 80
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/05/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 05/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 13% | -0.78 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |