10
Police Woman
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 71
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 30/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |