4
Ticklers
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 71
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/08/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |