Citana

5yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 91

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.5

Today:

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-26	Colonial Downs	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-05-17	Belmont At The Big A	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2025-05-25	San Isidro	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▼

Strength44%

Delivery trend -18.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/05/2025	2nd	4/1	79%	89%	+0.10
17/05/2026	6th	20/1	0%	29%	+0.29
26/06/2026	6th	11/2	71%	44%	-0.27