1

Kissedbyanangel
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |