10
Buzzaway
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 13/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |